Alcorcon 1-1 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.41
Over 2.5
28%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
13%
6.92
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
13%
15.4
X/1
20%
4.19
X/2
12%
7.01
X/X
15%
3.23
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
9%
6.36
2/X
6%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
72%
Under 2.5
67%
+4.8pp
28%
Over 2.5
33%
-4.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.4pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.14/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.50
-36% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -42%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.3 Crosses 25.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Amorebieta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 0.71
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
243 Passes 284
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-2 HT 1-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
20.03.2022 Amorebieta Amorebieta 0-0 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
07.11.2021 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-2 HT 0-1 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
1-1
AWAY Amorebieta
1.25 xG 0.64
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
338 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon and Amorebieta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Alcorcon had 55% of the ball to Amorebieta's 45%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.25 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alcorcon had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alcorcon and 1.00 for Amorebieta.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Amorebieta?

Alcorcon 1-1 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 38%, draw 35%, Amorebieta 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alcorcon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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