Real Zaragoza 2-3 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

Real Zaragoza
2-3 HT 0-2
Racing Santander
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Real Zaragoza vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 34% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.19
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1
11%
5.08
X/2
19%
6.53
X/X
12%
4.32
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.57
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-10.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.5pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Zaragoza v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +33%
1.26/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.20
+7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
22.0 Crosses 14.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Real Zaragoza vs Racing Santander Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.60 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
15.09.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
15.04.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 4-1 HT 3-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
12.10.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
29.02.2020 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-2 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
14.12.2019 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2

Real Zaragoza 2-3 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
2-3
AWAY Racing Santander
1.94 xG 1.49
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 1
370 Passes 220
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 19
43 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander edged past Real Zaragoza 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Racing Santander found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 62% of the ball to Racing Santander's 38%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.94 to 1.49 — on chances, Real Zaragoza could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Real Zaragoza and 0.83 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Racing Santander?

Real Zaragoza 2-3 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 32%, draw 28%, Racing Santander 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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