Huesca 2-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 May 2025

Huesca
2-1 HT 0-1
Elche
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Huesca vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.9
No
63%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
24.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 38% vs market 33.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.85
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
16%
6.34
X/2
12%
5.1
X/X
13%
3.94
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
16%
3.47
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+8.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.5pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Huesca v Elche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.20/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.12
-15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -13%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.9 Crosses 23.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Huesca vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Elche
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.70 xG 0.90
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
271 Passes 475
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
12.05.2024 Elche Elche 0-3 HT 0-2 Huesca Huesca İS2
22.10.2023 Huesca Huesca 0-1 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2
09.04.2021 Huesca Huesca 3-1 HT 2-1 Elche Elche İS1
03.10.2020 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS1
04.01.2020 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2

Huesca 2-1 Elche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
2-1
AWAY Elche
2.83 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
330 Passes 315
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huesca nicked a narrow win over Elche 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Huesca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huesca had 50% of the ball to Elche's 50%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.83 to 1.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Huesca's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Huesca and 0.50 for Elche.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Elche?

Huesca 2-1 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huesca win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Huesca 39%, draw 27%, Elche 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huesca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huesca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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