Elche 0-3 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 12 May 2024

Elche
0-3 HT 0-2
Huesca
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Elche vs Huesca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.19
No
68%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.76
6+ Goals
6%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 39% vs market 33.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.11
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.1
X/1
17%
3.56
X/2
9%
10.85
X/X
13%
4.3
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
12%
9.86
2/X
6%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.2pp
32%
BTTS Yes
42%
-9.2pp
68%
BTTS No
58%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elche v Huesca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.61/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.25
-2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +58%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
24.9 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2

Elche vs Huesca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Huesca
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.59 xG 1.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
386 Passes 309
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Huesca Huesca 0-1 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2
09.04.2021 Huesca Huesca 3-1 HT 2-1 Elche Elche İS1
03.10.2020 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS1
04.01.2020 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
27.10.2019 Huesca Huesca 2-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
25.02.2017 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2

Elche 0-3 Huesca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
0-3
AWAY Huesca
1.79 xG 0.60
75% Ball Possession 25%
21 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
611 Passes 155
90% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elche vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huesca ran out comfortable winners over Elche 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Elche at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (68%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Elche had 75% of the ball to Huesca's 25%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.79 to 0.60 — on chances, Elche could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Elche and 1.17 for Huesca.

What was the final score of Elche vs Huesca?

Elche 0-3 Huesca in the Spain - 2nd Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Elche 50%, draw 25%, Huesca 25%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Elche), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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