Albacete 1-0 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.03
No
67%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
42%
2.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.44
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.26 — our 42% vs market 37.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.62
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.09
X/2
8%
6.28
X/X
18%
3.33
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.9
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
45%
-12.3pp
67%
BTTS No
55%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.44/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.98
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.3 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Leganes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
294 Passes 286
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Leganes Leganes 2-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
16.01.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
02.10.2022 Leganes Leganes 1-2 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
30.07.2022 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete HAZ
14.02.2021 Leganes Leganes 3-1 HT 2-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
06.11.2020 Albacete Albacete 0-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
1-0
AWAY Leganes
1.33 xG 0.64
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
281 Passes 454
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete edged past Leganes 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Albacete made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, Albacete had 40% of the ball to Leganes's 60%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.33 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Albacete and 1.00 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Leganes?

Albacete 1-0 Leganes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Albacete 39%, draw 31%, Leganes 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albacete), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albacete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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