Real Oviedo 1-0 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.56
6+ Goals
7%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
14%
4.19
X/2
8%
7.65
X/X
15%
4.01
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
11%
6.29
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.38/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.09
+0% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
24.3 Crosses 16.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
251 Passes 336
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
07.05.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
09.10.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
16.05.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-3 HT 2-3 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
02.10.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
28.02.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-0
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.95 xG 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 13
351 Passes 190
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 16
38 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo squeezed past Real Zaragoza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Oviedo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 61% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 39%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.95 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Oviedo and 0.83 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Real Zaragoza?

Real Oviedo 1-0 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 43%, draw 32%, Real Zaragoza 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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