Deportivo La Coruna 2-3 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 May 2025

Deportivo La Coruna
2-3 HT 0-2
Granada
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Deportivo La Coruna vs Granada Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.33
1/2
10%
26.5
1/X
10%
13.5
X/1
14%
6.26
X/2
13%
5.29
X/X
13%
4.81
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
13%
3.34
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v Granada — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.22/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.22
+18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +73%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.2 Crosses 20.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Deportivo La Coruna vs Granada Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Granada
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.94 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.09.2024 Granada Granada 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
10.02.2019 Granada Granada 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
24.09.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
05.04.2017 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS1
05.11.2016 Granada Granada 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
28.02.2016 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 HT 0-1 Granada Granada İS1

Deportivo La Coruna 2-3 Granada — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
2-3
AWAY Granada
1.28 xG 2.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
339 Passes 410
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada nicked a narrow win over Deportivo La Coruna 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Granada made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 46% of the ball to Granada's 54%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.28 to 2.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Granada's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.67 for Granada.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Granada?

Deportivo La Coruna 2-3 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 35%, draw 29%, Granada 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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