Burgos 1-0 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Aug 2025

Burgos
1-0 HT 0-0
Eibar
📅02/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
23.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.31
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
10%
13.8
X/1
15%
5.79
X/2
11%
5.27
X/X
10%
3.96
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.73
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -25%
0.81/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.22
-45% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Eibar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.69 xG 0.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
287 Passes 412
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
23.11.2024 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
10.03.2024 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
09.09.2023 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
11.03.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
08.12.2022 Burgos Burgos 1-2 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
1-0
AWAY Eibar
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos squeezed past Eibar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Burgos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Burgos had 45% of the ball to Eibar's 55%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Burgos and 0.67 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Eibar?

Burgos 1-0 Eibar in the Friendlies on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Burgos 36%, draw 27%, Eibar 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Eibar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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