Racing Ferrol 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.54
Over 2.5
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
4.92
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +3%
1.71/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.63
+25% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2022 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
05.09.2021 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-2 HT 1-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
0-1
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II edged past Racing Ferrol 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Ferrol at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 43% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 57%, shots finished 4-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Racing Ferrol and 1.50 for Athletic Bilbao II.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Racing Ferrol 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 46%, draw 24%, Athletic Bilbao II 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Ferrol), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
10 Jan 2026
16:00 Europa vs Alcorcon Analysis →
18:15 Arenteiro vs Lugo Analysis →
18:15 Arenas de Getxo vs Real Madrid II Analysis →
20:30 CD Guadalajara vs Cacereno Analysis →
20:30 Real Aviles vs Pontevedra Analysis →
23:00 Ponferradina vs Ourense CF Analysis →