Ponferradina vs Ourense CF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponferradina v Ourense CF — Team-Based Signals
Ponferradina vs Ourense CF Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Ponferradina 2-0 Ourense CF — Actual Match Statistics
Ponferradina saw off Ourense CF 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ponferradina had 45% of the ball to Ourense CF's 55%, shots finished 12-4.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ponferradina and 1.00 for Ourense CF.
What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Ourense CF?
Ponferradina 2-0 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Ourense CF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 42%, draw 28%, Ourense CF 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.