Ourense CF 2-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.6
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 42%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.76/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.33
-27% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
2-1
AWAY Ponferradina
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF edged past Ponferradina 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Ourense CF made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ourense CF had 38% of the ball to Ponferradina's 62%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Ponferradina?

Ourense CF 2-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 34%, draw 29%, Ponferradina 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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