Amorebieta 2-0 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.47/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.44
+17% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +137%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
2-0
AWAY Sestao River
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta saw off Sestao River 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Amorebieta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Amorebieta had 42% of the ball to Sestao River's 58%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Sestao River?

Amorebieta 2-0 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 38%, draw 26%, Sestao River 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amorebieta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amorebieta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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