UD Ibiza 1-2 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.83
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +24%
1.26/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.90
+0% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ibiza
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Murcia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.03.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
11.10.2023 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 3-1 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
1-2
AWAY Real Murcia
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia edged past UD Ibiza 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Real Murcia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 50% of the ball to Real Murcia's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, UD Ibiza had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UD Ibiza and 0.50 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Real Murcia?

UD Ibiza 1-2 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 40%, draw 30%, Real Murcia 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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