Atletico Madrid (K) 5-5 Real Sociedad (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
52%
-18.2pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.4pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.53/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.64
-43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
24.8 Crosses 12.7
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.35 xG 0.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
342 Passes 366
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2025 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
19.10.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad (K) Real Sociedad (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
5-5
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
1.29 xG 2.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
378 Passes 413
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) and Real Sociedad (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 5-5. Half-time: 2-3. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 47% of the ball to Real Sociedad (K)'s 53%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 1.29 to 2.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Madrid (K) and 0.00 for Real Sociedad (K).

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 5-5 Real Sociedad (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Sociedad (K) 33%. The final score 5-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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