Madura United 0-3 PSIM Yogyakarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 10 Jan 2026

Madura United
0-3 HT 0-0
PSIM Yogyakarta
📅10/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2025/2026

Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
27%
-7.3pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Madura United v PSIM Yogyakarta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY PSIM Yogyakarta EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.13/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.49
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
327 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSIM Yogyakarta cruised past Madura United 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSIM Yogyakarta as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta?

Madura United 0-3 PSIM Yogyakarta in the Indonesia League 1 on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSIM Yogyakarta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Madura United 37%, draw 20%, PSIM Yogyakarta 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSIM Yogyakarta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSIM Yogyakarta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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