Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 Malut United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
48%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
31%
-7.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
48%
Away Win
40%
+7.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Malut United EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.41/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.52
+14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +129%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Malut United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.01.2025 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-2 HT 0-0 Malut United Malut United ENDL1
16.08.2024 Malut United Malut United 0-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
2-1
AWAY Malut United
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Malut United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya squeezed past Malut United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Malut United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Persebaya Surabaya had 29% of the ball to Malut United's 71%, shots finished 9-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Malut United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 1.00 for Malut United.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Malut United?

Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 Malut United in the Indonesia League 1 on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Malut United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malut United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 24%, draw 28%, Malut United 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Malut United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malut United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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