Istres 0-2 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 10 Jan 2026

Istres
0-2 HT 0-1
Stade Lavallois
📅10/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Cup – 2025/2026

Istres vs Stade Lavallois Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.84
6+ Goals
14%
17.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.84 — our 24% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.03
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
27.0
1/X
11%
14.2
X/1
7%
6.69
X/2
14%
4.88
X/X
9%
4.52
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.1
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Istres v Stade Lavallois — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istres EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-29% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
– Crosses 21.0
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Istres vs Stade Lavallois Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istres
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
The Meetings
21.02.2014 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 3-4 HT 3-2 Istres Istres FR2
20.09.2013 Istres Istres 3-0 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
05.04.2013 Istres Istres 2-2 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
02.11.2012 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 0-0 Istres Istres FR2
18.01.2012 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 1-0 Istres Istres FR2
19.08.2011 Istres Istres 1-2 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2

Istres 0-2 Stade Lavallois — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istres
0-2
AWAY Stade Lavallois
0.21 xG 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
404 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Istres vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois beat Istres 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stade Lavallois as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Istres had 55% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 45%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.21 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Istres and 1.83 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Istres vs Stade Lavallois?

Istres 0-2 Stade Lavallois in the France - Cup on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istres vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Istres 27%, draw 28%, Stade Lavallois 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Lavallois) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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