Bastia vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bastia v Troyes — Team-Based Signals
Bastia vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-2
Troyes
FR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Troyes
FR1
Bastia 0-2 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes got the better of Bastia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Troyes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Bastia had 55% of the ball to Troyes's 45%, shots finished 5-5, expected goals 0.15 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bastia and 1.17 for Troyes.
What was the final score of Bastia vs Troyes?
Bastia 0-2 Troyes in the France - Cup on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bastia vs Troyes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bastia 32%, draw 31%, Troyes 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.