Troyes vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Troyes v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-2
Troyes
FR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Troyes
FR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Bastia
FR1
Troyes 1-0 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes squeezed past Bastia 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Troyes had 37% of the ball to Bastia's 63%, shots finished 11-20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Troyes and 1.00 for Bastia.
What was the final score of Troyes vs Bastia?
Troyes 1-0 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Troyes vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Troyes 53%, draw 26%, Bastia 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.