Grenoble 1-1 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 17 Oct 2025

Grenoble
1-1 HT 0-0
Pau
📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Grenoble vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
7%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 28% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.33
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
13%
6.19
X/2
11%
5.38
X/X
14%
4.35
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
20%
3.49
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grenoble v Pau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.29/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.74
-2% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
16.2 Crosses 21.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Grenoble vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Pau
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 1.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
349 Passes 375
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.02.2025 Pau Pau 1-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
30.08.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
24.02.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 0-1 HT 0-1 Pau Pau FR2
28.10.2023 Pau Pau 3-2 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
11.02.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 0-1 Pau Pau FR2
10.01.2023 Pau Pau 0-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2

Grenoble 1-1 Pau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
1-1
AWAY Pau
1.68 xG 2.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
328 Passes 436
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
27 Box Touches 39
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble and Pau shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Grenoble had 44% of the ball to Pau's 56%, shots finished 12-24, expected goals 1.68 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pau led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Grenoble and 1.17 for Pau.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Pau?

Grenoble 1-1 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 31%, draw 31%, Pau 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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