Grenoble 1-1 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 30 Aug 2024

Grenoble
1-1 HT 0-0
Pau
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.29
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.05
X/2
12%
6.16
X/X
11%
4.41
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
18%
4.36
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +14%
1.40/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.33
+9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
16.6 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 1.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
317 Passes 366
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 0-1 HT 0-1 Pau Pau FR2
28.10.2023 Pau Pau 3-2 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
11.02.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 0-1 Pau Pau FR2
10.01.2023 Pau Pau 0-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
15.03.2022 Pau Pau 0-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
02.10.2021 Grenoble Grenoble 2-0 HT 2-0 Pau Pau FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
1-1
AWAY Pau
0.43 xG 1.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 11
345 Passes 320
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble and Pau shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Grenoble had 51% of the ball to Pau's 49%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.43 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grenoble and 0.83 for Pau.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Pau?

Grenoble 1-1 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grenoble win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 39%, draw 25%, Pau 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grenoble), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grenoble) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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