Dunkerque 1-0 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 30 Aug 2024

Dunkerque
1-0 HT 1-0
Rodez
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Dunkerque vs Rodez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 30% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.64
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.39
X/2
15%
5.69
X/X
14%
4.37
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
17%
3.93
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.0pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunkerque v Rodez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 38%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
0.90/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.00
-33% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.2 Crosses 21.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Dunkerque vs Rodez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rodez
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
334 Passes 269
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Rodez Rodez 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
23.09.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-2 HT 0-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
12.02.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-0 HT 2-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
28.08.2021 Rodez Rodez 2-2 HT 0-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
02.02.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
26.09.2020 Rodez Rodez 2-1 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque edged past Rodez 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Dunkerque found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rodez led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dunkerque and 1.00 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Rodez?

Dunkerque 1-0 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 35%, draw 26%, Rodez 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rodez) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rodez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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