Caen 1-1 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 30 Aug 2024

Caen
1-1 HT 0-0
Annecy
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Caen vs Annecy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 36% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.79
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
13%
7.23
X/X
12%
4.26
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
5.67
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caen v Annecy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.39/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.34
+5% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
343 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.5 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Caen vs Annecy Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Annecy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
339 Passes 274
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.04.2024 Caen Caen 2-1 HT 1-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
06.12.2023 Annecy Annecy 1-2 HT 1-0 Caen Caen FR2
31.01.2023 Annecy Annecy 2-0 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
12.11.2022 Caen Caen 0-0 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR2

Caen 1-1 Annecy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caen
1-1
AWAY Annecy
0.89 xG 1.83
75% Ball Possession 25%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
553 Passes 131
83% Pass Accuracy 58%
28 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caen vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caen and Annecy shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Caen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Caen had 75% of the ball to Annecy's 25%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.89 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Caen had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caen and 1.00 for Annecy.

What was the final score of Caen vs Annecy?

Caen 1-1 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Caen 41%, draw 29%, Annecy 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Caen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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