Guingamp 3-4 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.87
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
15%
3.94
X/2
10%
8.88
X/X
21%
3.93
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
6%
7.69
2/X
10%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.2pp
35%
Draw
28%
+7.3pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
1.40/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.44
-28% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
24.1 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
3-4
AWAY Red Star FC 93
1.05 xG 2.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
472 Passes 305
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 29
28 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Red Star FC 93 edged past Guingamp 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guingamp had 60% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 40%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.05 to 2.21.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93?

Guingamp 3-4 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 42%, draw 35%, Red Star FC 93 23%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
30 Aug 2024
21:00 Martigues vs Bastia Analysis →
21:00 Clermont vs Paris FC Analysis →
21:00 Grenoble vs Pau Analysis →
21:00 Caen vs Annecy Analysis →
21:00 Ajaccio vs Troyes Analysis →
21:00 Dunkerque vs Rodez Analysis →