Martigues vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Martigues v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Martigues 0-1 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia nicked a narrow win over Martigues 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Bastia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Martigues had 46% of the ball to Bastia's 54%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.65 to 1.00.
What was the final score of Martigues vs Bastia?
Martigues 0-1 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Martigues vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Martigues 28%, draw 33%, Bastia 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bastia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.