Ajaccio vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajaccio v Troyes — Team-Based Signals
Ajaccio vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Troyes
FR2
2-1
HT 0-1
Troyes
FR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Ajaccio
FR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Ajaccio
FR2
0-4
HT 0-1
Troyes
FR2
Ajaccio 2-1 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics
Ajaccio edged past Troyes 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ajaccio as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ajaccio had 71% of the ball to Troyes's 29%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.32 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ajaccio's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ajaccio and 1.67 for Troyes.
What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Troyes?
Ajaccio 2-1 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Troyes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 45%, draw 29%, Troyes 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajaccio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.