Grenoble 0-1 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Feb 2024

Grenoble
0-1 HT 0-1
Pau
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Grenoble vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 27% vs market 25.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.49
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.65
X/1
19%
4.25
X/2
11%
8.19
X/X
12%
4.66
2/1
10%
24.85
2/2
8%
6.26
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grenoble v Pau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.39/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.30
+8% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
19.3 Crosses 15.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Grenoble vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pau
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.04 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Pau Pau 3-2 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
11.02.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 0-1 Pau Pau FR2
10.01.2023 Pau Pau 0-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
15.03.2022 Pau Pau 0-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
02.10.2021 Grenoble Grenoble 2-0 HT 2-0 Pau Pau FR2
13.03.2021 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2

Grenoble 0-1 Pau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
0-1
AWAY Pau
1.25 xG 1.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
450 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau nicked a narrow win over Grenoble 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Grenoble at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Grenoble had 57% of the ball to Pau's 43%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.25 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grenoble had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Grenoble and 0.83 for Pau.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Pau?

Grenoble 0-1 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grenoble win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 47%, draw 28%, Pau 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grenoble)
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