Saint-Etienne 2-1 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 30% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.02
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
30%
3.72
X/2
9%
10.95
X/X
9%
5.21
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
9%
8.88
2/X
8%
17.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.72 — our 30% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.53/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.56
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
21.8 Crosses 13.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Annecy
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.63 xG 1.62
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
368 Passes 251
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2023 Annecy Annecy 1-1 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
04.02.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 3-2 HT 1-1 Annecy Annecy FR2
26.12.2022 Annecy Annecy 2-1 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
2-1
AWAY Annecy
1.10 xG 1.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
337 Passes 339
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne squeezed past Annecy 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Saint-Etienne as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saint-Etienne had 50% of the ball to Annecy's 50%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.10 to 1.61 — on chances, Annecy could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Saint-Etienne and 1.67 for Annecy.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Annecy?

Saint-Etienne 2-1 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 52%, draw 23%, Annecy 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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