Concarneau 1-3 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.44
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.2
X/1
13%
4.86
X/2
10%
5.42
X/X
15%
3.38
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.54
2/X
5%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 36%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.06/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.26
+34% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.3 Crosses 19.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.91 xG 1.43
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
574 Passes 297
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-3 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
18.04.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 2-2 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
22.11.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
24.04.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-0 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
04.12.2020 Concarneau Concarneau 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
29.11.2019 Concarneau Concarneau 0-1 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois got the better of Concarneau 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Stade Lavallois made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Concarneau and 0.83 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Stade Lavallois?

Concarneau 1-3 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 37%, draw 30%, Stade Lavallois 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Concarneau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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