Troyes vs Dunkerque Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Troyes v Dunkerque — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Dunkerque Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Troyes
FR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Dunkerque
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR2
Troyes 1-2 Dunkerque — Actual Match Statistics
Dunkerque nicked a narrow win over Troyes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Troyes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Troyes had 48% of the ball to Dunkerque's 52%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.52 to 0.94 — the balance of chances actually favoured Troyes.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Troyes had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Troyes and 0.67 for Dunkerque.
What was the final score of Troyes vs Dunkerque?
Troyes 1-2 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Troyes vs Dunkerque?
Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Troyes 41%, draw 26%, Dunkerque 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.