Pau vs Grenoble Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pau v Grenoble — Team-Based Signals
Pau vs Grenoble Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
Grenoble
FR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Pau
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Grenoble
FR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Grenoble
FR2
Pau 1-0 Grenoble — Actual Match Statistics
Pau edged past Grenoble 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pau as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Pau had 61% of the ball to Grenoble's 39%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.95 to 0.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pau's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pau had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pau and 0.83 for Grenoble.
What was the final score of Pau vs Grenoble?
Pau 1-0 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pau vs Grenoble?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pau 45%, draw 25%, Grenoble 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pau), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.