Annecy 2-3 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 36% vs market 32.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.88
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
12%
7.32
X/2
11%
4.62
X/X
14%
3.98
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.88
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-8.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.5pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annecy EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
1.32/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.08
+3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.8 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annecy
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Paris FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.27
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
246 Passes 427
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
13.01.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
30.09.2023 Annecy Annecy 2-2 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
02.06.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
08.02.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FRK
13.01.2023 Annecy Annecy 2-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Annecy
2-3
AWAY Paris FC
0.26 xG 1.88
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
170 Passes 518
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Annecy vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC squeezed past Annecy 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Paris FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Annecy had 30% of the ball to Paris FC's 70%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.26 to 1.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Paris FC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paris FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Annecy and 1.00 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Annecy vs Paris FC?

Annecy 2-3 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annecy vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Annecy 34%, draw 30%, Paris FC 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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