Paris FC 2-1 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
20.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 36% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.65
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
19%
4.19
X/2
12%
7.54
X/X
13%
4.25
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
6.04
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.1pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.64/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.39
-10% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.9 Crosses 15.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Annecy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.23 xG 1.08
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
401 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Annecy Annecy 2-2 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
02.06.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
08.02.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FRK
13.01.2023 Annecy Annecy 2-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
2-1
AWAY Annecy
2.00 xG 0.93
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
523 Passes 215
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC squeezed past Annecy 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paris FC had 67% of the ball to Annecy's 33%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.00 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paris FC and 1.25 for Annecy.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Annecy?

Paris FC 2-1 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 45%, draw 28%, Annecy 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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