Bastia 2-0 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.19
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.63
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.77
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
10%
4.89
X/2
18%
5.54
X/X
13%
3.52
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
15%
4.48
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.1pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bastia EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
0.85/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.41
-22% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
13.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.2 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bastia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Angers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.87 xG 1.77
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
352 Passes 329
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Angers Angers 2-0 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
25.02.2017 Angers Angers 3-0 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR1
15.10.2016 Bastia Bastia 1-2 HT 1-1 Angers Angers FR1
07.05.2016 Bastia Bastia 1-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
03.10.2015 Angers Angers 1-0 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR1
24.02.2012 Angers Angers 1-1 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bastia
2-0
AWAY Angers
2.55 xG 0.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 1
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
400 Passes 447
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bastia vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bastia got the better of Angers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Bastia made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bastia had 48% of the ball to Angers's 52%, shots finished 14-1, expected goals 2.55 to 0.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Angers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bastia and 1.50 for Angers.

What was the final score of Bastia vs Angers?

Bastia 2-0 Angers in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bastia vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Angers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bastia 36%, draw 26%, Angers 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Angers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Angers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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