Grenoble 2-2 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Jan 2024

Grenoble
2-2 HT 1-0
Dunkerque
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Grenoble vs Dunkerque Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.79
6+ Goals
14%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.16
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.75
X/1
21%
3.74
X/2
8%
9.55
X/X
9%
4.91
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
12%
7.86
2/X
7%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grenoble v Dunkerque — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 23%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
2.22/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.60
+28% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.5 Crosses 16.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Grenoble vs Dunkerque Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Dunkerque
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
1.65 xG 0.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
339 Passes 317
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
16.04.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-3 HT 0-2 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
06.11.2021 Grenoble Grenoble 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
17.04.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-1 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
12.12.2020 Grenoble Grenoble 4-0 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2

Grenoble 2-2 Dunkerque — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
2-2
AWAY Dunkerque
1.19 xG 1.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
386 Passes 387
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble and Dunkerque couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Grenoble at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Grenoble had 50% of the ball to Dunkerque's 50%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.19 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Grenoble had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Grenoble and 0.20 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Dunkerque?

Grenoble 2-2 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grenoble win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 50%, draw 23%, Dunkerque 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Grenoble), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grenoble) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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