Rodez 2-1 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Jan 2024

Rodez
2-1 HT 0-0
Pau
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Rodez vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 27% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.41
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
13%
4.28
X/2
6%
8.09
X/X
16%
5.21
2/1
13%
22.6
2/2
14%
5.84
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rodez v Pau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.57/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.34
+7% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
24.9 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Rodez vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pau
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
290 Passes 324
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Pau Pau 2-2 HT 2-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
26.05.2023 Rodez Rodez 2-3 HT 1-3 Pau Pau FR2
08.10.2022 Pau Pau 2-2 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
08.01.2022 Pau Pau 4-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
31.07.2021 Rodez Rodez 1-0 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
19.01.2021 Pau Pau 0-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FRK
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez nicked a narrow win over Pau 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rodez as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pau led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rodez and 1.83 for Pau.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Pau?

Rodez 2-1 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rodez 45%, draw 28%, Pau 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rodez), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rodez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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