Caen vs Concarneau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caen v Concarneau — Team-Based Signals
Caen vs Concarneau Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Caen
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Concarneau
HAZ
Caen 1-0 Concarneau — Actual Match Statistics
Caen nicked a narrow win over Concarneau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Caen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Caen had 43% of the ball to Concarneau's 57%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 1.21 to 0.25.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Caen had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caen and 0.00 for Concarneau.
What was the final score of Caen vs Concarneau?
Caen 1-0 Concarneau in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caen vs Concarneau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Caen 46%, draw 29%, Concarneau 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.