Clermont 0-1 Caen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Feb 2025

Clermont
0-1 HT 0-0
Caen
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Clermont vs Caen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.91
6+ Goals
11%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.59
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
14%
5.3
X/2
9%
5.87
X/X
19%
4.26
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
11%
4.2
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Clermont v Caen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Caen EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.40/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.16
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.1 Crosses 19.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Clermont vs Caen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Caen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
444 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.01.2025 Caen Caen 0-1 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
15.05.2021 Caen Caen 2-1 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
22.08.2020 Clermont Clermont 0-0 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
20.12.2019 Caen Caen 0-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
28.10.2014 Caen Caen 3-3 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FRLK
28.02.2014 Caen Caen 2-1 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR2

Clermont 0-1 Caen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
0-1
AWAY Caen
0.27 xG 2.07
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
203 Passes 494
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Caen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caen edged past Clermont 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Caen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Clermont had 33% of the ball to Caen's 67%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.27 to 2.07 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Caen's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Clermont and 1.17 for Caen.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Caen?

Clermont 0-1 Caen in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Caen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Clermont 40%, draw 31%, Caen 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Clermont), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Clermont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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