Caen 0-1 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 Jan 2025

Caen
0-1 HT 0-0
Clermont
📅03/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Caen vs Clermont Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 32% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
13%
4.74
X/2
11%
6.87
X/X
12%
4.32
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
11%
5.13
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caen v Clermont — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
1.32/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.36
+4% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.4 Crosses 20.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Caen vs Clermont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Clermont
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 0.98
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
241 Passes 489
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
15.05.2021 Caen Caen 2-1 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
22.08.2020 Clermont Clermont 0-0 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
20.12.2019 Caen Caen 0-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
28.10.2014 Caen Caen 3-3 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FRLK
28.02.2014 Caen Caen 2-1 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR2
24.09.2013 Clermont Clermont 2-2 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2

Caen 0-1 Clermont — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caen
0-1
AWAY Clermont
1.45 xG 1.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
452 Passes 312
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caen vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont nicked a narrow win over Caen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Caen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Caen had 58% of the ball to Clermont's 42%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.45 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caen had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caen and 1.17 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Caen vs Clermont?

Caen 0-1 Clermont in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Caen 44%, draw 28%, Clermont 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Caen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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