Ajaccio 1-2 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 Jan 2025

📅03/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
5.58
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.43
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.25
X/1
14%
5.6
X/2
11%
5.24
X/X
15%
3.43
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.03
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.31/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.33
-4% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
19.1 Crosses 13.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Annecy
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.53 xG 2.08
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
324 Passes 206
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
13 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-3 HT 1-1 Annecy Annecy FR2
25.11.2023 Annecy Annecy 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajaccio
1-2
AWAY Annecy
2.51 xG 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
296 Passes 222
69% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annecy edged past Ajaccio 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Annecy found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajaccio had 55% of the ball to Annecy's 45%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.51 to 1.83 — on chances, Ajaccio could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Annecy led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ajaccio and 2.50 for Annecy.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Annecy?

Ajaccio 1-2 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 34%, draw 32%, Annecy 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajaccio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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