Ajaccio 1-3 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.33
Over 2.5
28%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.67
No
66%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.71
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
14%
9.09
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.06
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.3
X/1
21%
3.96
X/2
13%
7.44
X/X
19%
2.93
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
8%
7.25
2/X
5%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.0pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.2pp
72%
Under 2.5
72%
-0.2pp
28%
Over 2.5
28%
+0.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
33%
+0.9pp
66%
BTTS No
67%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.13/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.42
+4% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.3 Crosses 15.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Annecy
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.24 xG 1.98
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
331 Passes 155
73% Pass Accuracy 60%
6 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 Annecy Annecy 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajaccio
1-3
AWAY Annecy
0.83 xG 2.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
318 Passes 257
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 38
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annecy got the better of Ajaccio 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ajaccio at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajaccio had 54% of the ball to Annecy's 46%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.83 to 2.19.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Annecy?

Ajaccio 1-3 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 43%, draw 31%, Annecy 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajaccio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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