Saint-Etienne 1-0 Auxerre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.68
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
7%
5.49
X/2
15%
5.75
X/X
16%
4.28
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
13%
3.93
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Auxerre EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.54/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.17
+54% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.8 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Auxerre
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.66 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
389 Passes 416
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 5-2 HT 3-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
29.05.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-1 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
26.05.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 1-1 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
01.02.2017 Auxerre Auxerre 0-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FRK
25.02.2012 Auxerre Auxerre 0-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
01.10.2011 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-1 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
1-0
AWAY Auxerre
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne vs Auxerre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne edged past Auxerre 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Saint-Etienne made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Saint-Etienne had 50% of the ball to Auxerre's 50%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auxerre led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Saint-Etienne and 1.33 for Auxerre.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Auxerre?

Saint-Etienne 1-0 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Auxerre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 34%, draw 29%, Auxerre 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Auxerre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auxerre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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