Dunkerque vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dunkerque v Pau — Team-Based Signals
Dunkerque vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Dunkerque
FR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Pau
FR2
1-2
HT 0-2
Dunkerque
FR2
3-1
HT 0-0
Dunkerque
FR2
2-2
HT 2-1
Pau
FR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Dunkerque
FR3
Dunkerque 1-0 Pau — Actual Match Statistics
Dunkerque squeezed past Pau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Dunkerque found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Dunkerque had 58% of the ball to Pau's 42%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.31 to 0.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dunkerque and 1.50 for Pau.
What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Pau?
Dunkerque 1-0 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Pau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 34%, draw 30%, Pau 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pau), BTTS Yes went the other way.