Troyes vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Troyes v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-2
Troyes
FR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Troyes
FR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Bastia
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR1
3-2
HT 2-1
Troyes
FR1
5-1
HT 2-1
Troyes
FR2
Troyes 2-0 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes saw off Bastia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Troyes made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Troyes had 52% of the ball to Bastia's 48%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.40 to 0.96.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Troyes and 2.33 for Bastia.
What was the final score of Troyes vs Bastia?
Troyes 2-0 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Troyes vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Troyes 37%, draw 25%, Bastia 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bastia) went the other way.