Amiens SC 0-3 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 Jan 2025

Amiens SC
0-3 HT 0-2
Troyes
📅03/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Amiens SC vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.37
6+ Goals
7%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 35% vs market 32.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.35
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
13%
5.87
X/2
10%
5.26
X/X
17%
3.87
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.72
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amiens SC v Troyes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.11/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.80
-19% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
17.6 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Amiens SC vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Troyes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
320 Passes 354
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
05.12.2023 Troyes Troyes 2-0 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
20.03.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 3-1 HT 1-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
28.11.2020 Troyes Troyes 2-1 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
17.03.2018 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR1
16.12.2017 Troyes Troyes 1-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR1

Amiens SC 0-3 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
0-3
AWAY Troyes
0.82 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
473 Passes 340
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes cruised past Amiens SC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Troyes made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Amiens SC had 56% of the ball to Troyes's 44%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.82 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Amiens SC and 1.17 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Troyes?

Amiens SC 0-3 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amiens SC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 35%, draw 30%, Troyes 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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