Grenoble vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grenoble v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Grenoble vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
3-0
HT 2-0
Grenoble
FR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Grenoble
FR2
Grenoble 3-2 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Grenoble nicked a narrow win over Bastia 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 38% — and on the day Grenoble made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Grenoble had 36% of the ball to Bastia's 64%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.11 to 1.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Grenoble and 1.00 for Bastia.
What was the final score of Grenoble vs Bastia?
Grenoble 3-2 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 30%, draw 32%, Bastia 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.