Bastia vs Grenoble Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bastia v Grenoble — Team-Based Signals
Bastia vs Grenoble Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
3-0
HT 2-0
Grenoble
FR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Grenoble
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
Bastia 1-0 Grenoble — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia nicked a narrow win over Grenoble 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bastia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Bastia had 48% of the ball to Grenoble's 52%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.60 to 0.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bastia's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bastia and 0.33 for Grenoble.
What was the final score of Bastia vs Grenoble?
Bastia 1-0 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bastia vs Grenoble?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bastia 41%, draw 30%, Grenoble 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bastia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.