Guingamp 0-0 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.45
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
22%
4.08
X/2
8%
8.56
X/X
14%
4.25
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
14%
6.99
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
1.38/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.68
-8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.1 Crosses 13.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Troyes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.27 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
324 Passes 394
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Troyes Troyes 0-1 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
03.04.2021 Troyes Troyes 1-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
01.12.2020 Guingamp Guingamp 1-2 HT 0-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
16.12.2019 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
07.04.2018 Guingamp Guingamp 4-0 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR1
02.12.2017 Troyes Troyes 0-1 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
0-0
AWAY Troyes
1.22 xG 0.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
337 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 10
35 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp and Troyes played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Guingamp had 54% of the ball to Troyes's 46%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.22 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guingamp and 0.67 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Troyes?

Guingamp 0-0 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 45%, draw 27%, Troyes 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guingamp) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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