Rodez 2-2 Bordeaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 2 Mar 2024

Rodez
2-2 HT 2-1
Bordeaux
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Rodez vs Bordeaux Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.43
1/2
4%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
14%
5.33
X/2
15%
5.87
X/X
15%
4.78
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
16%
3.92
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rodez v Bordeaux — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bordeaux EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.27/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.22
-7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
25.8 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Rodez vs Bordeaux Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bordeaux
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.73 xG 1.49
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
220 Passes 492
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Bordeaux Bordeaux 2-2 HT 2-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
02.06.2023 Bordeaux Bordeaux 0-3 Rodez Rodez FR2
06.08.2022 Rodez Rodez 0-3 HT 0-2 Bordeaux Bordeaux FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Bordeaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez and Bordeaux shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rodez and 1.67 for Bordeaux.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Bordeaux?

Rodez 2-2 Bordeaux in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Bordeaux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rodez 38%, draw 26%, Bordeaux 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rodez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
2 Mar 2024
17:00 Paris FC vs Saint-Etienne Analysis →
21:00 Stade Lavallois vs Amiens SC Analysis →
21:00 Guingamp vs Troyes Analysis →
21:00 Dunkerque vs Concarneau Analysis →
21:00 Bastia vs Grenoble Analysis →
21:00 Annecy vs Quevilly Analysis →