Dunkerque 2-2 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.28
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.66
X/2
13%
6.23
X/X
15%
3.86
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
12%
4.94
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.98/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/2.27
-37% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.2 Crosses 25.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Concarneau
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.38 xG 1.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
349 Passes 431
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Concarneau Concarneau 4-3 HT 1-2 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
20.01.2023 Concarneau Concarneau 0-1 HT 0-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR3
19.08.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
01.11.2019 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-0 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
2-2
AWAY Concarneau
0.67 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
368 Passes 506
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque and Concarneau shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dunkerque had 42% of the ball to Concarneau's 58%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.67 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dunkerque and 1.25 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Concarneau?

Dunkerque 2-2 Concarneau in the France - Ligue 2 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 38%, draw 29%, Concarneau 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
2 Mar 2024
17:00 Paris FC vs Saint-Etienne Analysis →
21:00 Stade Lavallois vs Amiens SC Analysis →
21:00 Guingamp vs Troyes Analysis →
21:00 Bastia vs Grenoble Analysis →
21:00 Rodez vs Bordeaux Analysis →
21:00 Annecy vs Quevilly Analysis →